Despite the greatest efforts of the fake news media and their phony pollster compatriots, Trump is now back on a steely pathway to win re-election.
President Trump currently has 214 Electoral votes awarded. The final count will be Trump 285. Here is the breakdown: North Carolina-15, Georgia-16, Pennsylvania-20, Arizona-11, Nevada-6, Alaska-4.
Meanwhile, Democrats are pushing to count late ballots because they are worried about Trump’s margins. The Trump campaign legal team is fighting to ensure that all legal ballots – and only legal ballots – are counted. Here is our analysis to get Trump to 285:
Pathway to victory in Pennsylvania:
- There are more than a million ballots left to be counted, including roughly 300,000 in Philadelphia.
- Using extremely conservative estimates, even if President Trump receives just 5% of ballots in Philadelphia and 30% of other remaining ballots, the President still wins Pennsylvania by 40,000 votes.
- We are confident in winning because many of these absentee ballots are from conservative counties:
- There are 54,000 ballots left to be counted in Cumberland County.
- There are 40,000 ballots left to be counted in Westmoreland County – a county where President Trump won 69 percent of the vote yesterday.
- There are 20,000 ballots left to be counted in Franklin County – a county where President Trump won more than 82 percent of the vote yesterday.
- There are 20,000 ballots left to be counted in Beaver County.
- We also believe that we will win more than 5 percent of ballots in Philadelphia County because of the President’s inroads with Black and Hispanic voters.
- We expect Trump to over-perform historical GOP margins among minority voters by 2-5 percent.
Pathway to victory in Arizona:
- A final batch of mail-in ballots is still being counted, with the latest arriving ballots counted last.
- We believe that over a half-million votes remain to be counted.
- We expect Trump to win between 66 percent and 70 percent of these ballots.
- We expect Trump to win Arizona by 30,000 votes.
- Arizona will join the President’s column at day’s end.
- Last night alone, we won 62 percent of the 80,000 Election Day votes that came into Maricopa County – we expect this margin to be higher in the rest of the state.
Pathway to victory in Nevada:
- Late-breaking mail-in-votes will help Trump.
- We believe that once all legal ballots are counted, Trump will win Nevada by 5,500 votes
Pathway to victory in Georgia:
- President Trump has built an insurmountable lead that the Democrats cannot beat.
- Trump leads by over 100,000 votes. Georgia should have been called last night. Fake news.
Pathway to victory in North Carolina:
- President Trump has built an insurmountable lead that the Democrats cannot beat.
- Trump leads by over 76,000 votes. North Carolina should have been called last night.